Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 70.140622 79.124954 88.305068 98.354216 109.013665 119.953885 132.001567
2025-11-09 55.473012 68.277590 81.957387 97.525052 114.623547 132.717318 153.200773
2025-11-16 47.095890 61.989307 78.437932 97.675498 119.304277 142.646331 169.527154
2025-11-23 39.960183 56.140928 74.581221 96.687508 122.051939 149.882909 182.386541
2025-11-30 35.501729 52.846353 73.156858 98.009565 126.994947 159.214428 197.250815
2025-12-07 31.943493 50.237948 72.207796 99.589748 131.983487 168.392929 211.766081
2025-12-14 27.670718 46.320191 69.350778 98.624437 133.773991 173.730182 221.762565
2025-12-21 23.553852 42.211554 65.947478 96.731249 134.245075 177.362557 229.649743
2025-12-28 22.284130 41.782943 67.071158 100.285054 141.129515 188.389303 245.998883
2026-01-04 20.485814 40.452501 66.913568 102.151538 145.910102 196.901327 259.400600
2026-01-11 17.965695 37.864961 64.946973 101.610929 147.662446 201.764873 268.492388
2026-01-18 15.735800 35.490679 63.109452 101.108128 149.360555 206.486650 277.354997
2026-01-25 14.049058 33.814094 62.150137 101.708470 152.430308 212.885337 288.262495
2026-02-01 12.087134 31.500332 60.175803 100.885000 153.655168 217.023680 296.473122
2026-02-08 10.619246 29.834278 59.004182 101.034443 156.035043 222.505886 306.237840
2026-02-15 9.001254 27.711074 57.043957 100.028223 156.873410 226.058636 313.657720
2026-02-22 8.132873 26.833907 56.854030 101.375467 160.687825 233.226638 325.394236
2026-03-01 7.404819 26.134717 56.881083 102.985734 164.818725 240.771036 337.578791
2026-03-08 6.191498 24.310913 55.089255 102.002081 165.533114 244.063115 344.605866
2026-03-15 4.943753 22.185692 52.693714 100.072697 164.937300 245.674835 349.552902
2026-03-22 4.818095 22.516994 54.210755 103.694196 171.647229 256.392626 365.575473
2026-03-29 4.406117 22.130606 54.537218 105.595810 176.075187 264.257584 378.127586
2026-04-05 3.645941 20.771143 53.195523 105.045055 177.212951 267.977076 385.604517